Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.069147 0.076658 0.084896 0.094649 0.105936 0.118657 0.134177
2024-10-06 0.058398 0.068684 0.080904 0.096679 0.116778 0.141919 0.176377
2024-10-13 0.049605 0.060938 0.075230 0.094964 0.122143 0.159271 0.215718
2024-10-20 0.044289 0.056391 0.072433 0.095904 0.130544 0.181875 0.268157
2024-10-27 0.039755 0.052081 0.069091 0.095196 0.136058 0.201098 0.320999
2024-11-03 0.036744 0.049380 0.067464 0.096471 0.144477 0.226433 0.392455
2024-11-10 0.034245 0.047055 0.065984 0.097575 0.152601 0.252976 0.476143
2024-11-17 0.031802 0.044517 0.063818 0.097141 0.157841 0.275364 0.560454
2024-11-24 0.030048 0.042821 0.062723 0.098253 0.165955 0.305356 0.676774
2024-12-01 0.028528 0.041326 0.061752 0.099380 0.174224 0.337910 0.817919
2024-12-08 0.027137 0.039898 0.060720 0.100205 0.181988 0.371598 0.984182
2024-12-15 0.025728 0.038316 0.059252 0.099984 0.187474 0.401494 1.160274
2024-12-22 0.024266 0.036560 0.057364 0.098797 0.190846 0.427797 1.348809
2024-12-29 0.023435 0.035798 0.057162 0.100937 0.202334 0.480775 1.703835
2025-01-05 0.022127 0.034124 0.055156 0.099119 0.204016 0.505954 1.962101
2025-01-12 0.021309 0.033241 0.054526 0.100112 0.212949 0.557701 2.440094
2025-01-19 0.020345 0.032030 0.053173 0.099363 0.217232 0.596087 2.907894
2025-01-26 0.019707 0.031358 0.052788 0.100711 0.227522 0.661124 3.714975
2025-02-02 0.019095 0.030691 0.052351 0.101880 0.237628 0.731254 4.779406
2025-02-09 0.018356 0.029742 0.051277 0.101420 0.242899 0.784870 5.882926
2025-02-16 0.017835 0.029165 0.050905 0.102598 0.253510 0.869056 7.779055
2025-02-23 0.017349 0.028623 0.050556 0.103791 0.264540 0.963449 10.497379
2025-03-02 0.016864 0.028052 0.050103 0.104664 0.274819 1.062452 14.294732